Bank Credit, Export And Economic Growth In The ASEAN Countries : A Cointegration and Error Correction

The main thrust of this study is to deploy an econometric analysis to determine empirically the long run equilibrium relationship and its causal effects among bank credit (a proxy to financial development), real export and economic growth for ASEAN - 5 member economies. The empirical findings sugges...

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Main Author: Khor, Kok Keat
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
eng
Published: 2001
Subjects:
Online Access:https://etd.uum.edu.my/323/1/Khor_Kok_Keat%2C_2001.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/323/2/1.Khor_Kok_Keat%2C_2001.pdf
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spelling my-uum-etd.3232013-07-24T12:06:42Z Bank Credit, Export And Economic Growth In The ASEAN Countries : A Cointegration and Error Correction 2001 Khor, Kok Keat Sekolah Siswazah Sekolah Siswazah HB Economic Theory The main thrust of this study is to deploy an econometric analysis to determine empirically the long run equilibrium relationship and its causal effects among bank credit (a proxy to financial development), real export and economic growth for ASEAN - 5 member economies. The empirical findings suggest the existence of a long run equilibrium relationship over a 31-year time period among the variables within the multivariate model. Subsequent analysis also found that there is a unidirectional Granger-causality from financial development to real economic growth but neither the reverse nor bidirectional among Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand while there is no evidence of causality whatsoever in Indonesia and Philippines. Such finding implies a pattern of 'supply-leading' phenomenon between Financial - economic developments here; whereby financial development precedes and induces economic gowth in developing economies. We also record causality running from financial development to real export growth in Thailand alone, indicating that export Financing through directed credit programme encourages promotion of exports. Therefore, a stress on policy fundamentals giving particular attention pertaining to public financial sector policies, policy of financial reforms and restructuring as well as sustaining a level of confidence towards 'market-oriented' financial policy are crucially important strengthening financial development and thereby economic growth. 2001 Thesis https://etd.uum.edu.my/323/ https://etd.uum.edu.my/323/1/Khor_Kok_Keat%2C_2001.pdf application/pdf eng validuser https://etd.uum.edu.my/323/2/1.Khor_Kok_Keat%2C_2001.pdf application/pdf eng public masters masters Universiti Utara Malaysia
institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
collection UUM ETD
language eng
eng
topic HB Economic Theory
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
Khor, Kok Keat
Bank Credit, Export And Economic Growth In The ASEAN Countries : A Cointegration and Error Correction
description The main thrust of this study is to deploy an econometric analysis to determine empirically the long run equilibrium relationship and its causal effects among bank credit (a proxy to financial development), real export and economic growth for ASEAN - 5 member economies. The empirical findings suggest the existence of a long run equilibrium relationship over a 31-year time period among the variables within the multivariate model. Subsequent analysis also found that there is a unidirectional Granger-causality from financial development to real economic growth but neither the reverse nor bidirectional among Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand while there is no evidence of causality whatsoever in Indonesia and Philippines. Such finding implies a pattern of 'supply-leading' phenomenon between Financial - economic developments here; whereby financial development precedes and induces economic gowth in developing economies. We also record causality running from financial development to real export growth in Thailand alone, indicating that export Financing through directed credit programme encourages promotion of exports. Therefore, a stress on policy fundamentals giving particular attention pertaining to public financial sector policies, policy of financial reforms and restructuring as well as sustaining a level of confidence towards 'market-oriented' financial policy are crucially important strengthening financial development and thereby economic growth.
format Thesis
qualification_name masters
qualification_level Master's degree
author Khor, Kok Keat
author_facet Khor, Kok Keat
author_sort Khor, Kok Keat
title Bank Credit, Export And Economic Growth In The ASEAN Countries : A Cointegration and Error Correction
title_short Bank Credit, Export And Economic Growth In The ASEAN Countries : A Cointegration and Error Correction
title_full Bank Credit, Export And Economic Growth In The ASEAN Countries : A Cointegration and Error Correction
title_fullStr Bank Credit, Export And Economic Growth In The ASEAN Countries : A Cointegration and Error Correction
title_full_unstemmed Bank Credit, Export And Economic Growth In The ASEAN Countries : A Cointegration and Error Correction
title_sort bank credit, export and economic growth in the asean countries : a cointegration and error correction
granting_institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
granting_department Sekolah Siswazah
publishDate 2001
url https://etd.uum.edu.my/323/1/Khor_Kok_Keat%2C_2001.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/323/2/1.Khor_Kok_Keat%2C_2001.pdf
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