Financial Crises and Malaysia Trade Impact and Forecasting

Financial crises are an ongoing challenge in the modern world with much complicated global economics. Malaysia itself has gone through severe crises in about once in a decade started in late 20th century. Many economy sectors had been affected by the crises, but the highlight in this study is focuse...

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Main Author:	Diana Nabila Chau, Abdullah
Format:	Thesis
Language:	eng
Published:	2011
Subjects:	HB Economic Theory
Online Access:	https://etd.uum.edu.my/3689/1/s804406.pdf
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id	my-uum-etd.3689
record_format	uketd_dc
institution	Universiti Utara Malaysia
collection	UUM ETD
language	eng
advisor	Lim, Hock Eam
topic	HB Economic Theory
spellingShingle	HB Economic Theory Diana Nabila Chau, Abdullah Financial Crises and Malaysia Trade Impact and Forecasting
description	Financial crises are an ongoing challenge in the modern world with much complicated global economics. Malaysia itself has gone through severe crises in about once in a decade started in late 20th century. Many economy sectors had been affected by the crises, but the highlight in this study is focused on the impacts of financial crises on the trade of Malaysia. The objective is to forecast the trend of Malaysia trade when influenced by the shocks in the economy. This study applies Granger causality test and ARIMA model into the data of Malaysian trade from 1947 to 2009. It is very crucial to analyze and forecast these impacts since Malaysia is one developing country with a growing-open market economy and mostly dependent to the exports. The importance of export in boosting Malaysia economy was supported by the findings of this study in which it shows export does Granger cause total trades for before and after the crises. Due to the impacts of financial crises on Malaysia trade, Malaysia could focus on domestic demand, build the country’s comparative advantage in manufactured exports, or expand the export prospects. Nevertheless, the policy implication highlighted the importance to stimulate exports considering it is the major growth-key for Malaysia economy.
format	Thesis
qualification_name	masters
qualification_level	Master's degree
author	Diana Nabila Chau, Abdullah
author_facet	Diana Nabila Chau, Abdullah
author_sort	Diana Nabila Chau, Abdullah
title	Financial Crises and Malaysia Trade Impact and Forecasting
title_short	Financial Crises and Malaysia Trade Impact and Forecasting
title_full	Financial Crises and Malaysia Trade Impact and Forecasting
title_fullStr	Financial Crises and Malaysia Trade Impact and Forecasting
title_full_unstemmed	Financial Crises and Malaysia Trade Impact and Forecasting
title_sort	financial crises and malaysia trade impact and forecasting
granting_institution	Universiti Utara Malaysia
granting_department	College of Arts and Sciences (CAS)
publishDate	2011
url	https://etd.uum.edu.my/3689/1/s804406.pdf
_version_	1747827626787995648
spelling	my-uum-etd.36892022-04-13T01:57:14Z Financial Crises and Malaysia Trade Impact and Forecasting 2011 Diana Nabila Chau, Abdullah Lim, Hock Eam College of Arts and Sciences (CAS) College of Arts and Sciences HB Economic Theory Financial crises are an ongoing challenge in the modern world with much complicated global economics. Malaysia itself has gone through severe crises in about once in a decade started in late 20th century. Many economy sectors had been affected by the crises, but the highlight in this study is focused on the impacts of financial crises on the trade of Malaysia. The objective is to forecast the trend of Malaysia trade when influenced by the shocks in the economy. This study applies Granger causality test and ARIMA model into the data of Malaysian trade from 1947 to 2009. It is very crucial to analyze and forecast these impacts since Malaysia is one developing country with a growing-open market economy and mostly dependent to the exports. The importance of export in boosting Malaysia economy was supported by the findings of this study in which it shows export does Granger cause total trades for before and after the crises. Due to the impacts of financial crises on Malaysia trade, Malaysia could focus on domestic demand, build the country’s comparative advantage in manufactured exports, or expand the export prospects. Nevertheless, the policy implication highlighted the importance to stimulate exports considering it is the major growth-key for Malaysia economy. 2011 Thesis https://etd.uum.edu.my/3689/ https://etd.uum.edu.my/3689/1/s804406.pdf text eng public masters masters Universiti Utara Malaysia Akyuz, Y. (2000). Causes and Sources of the Asian Financial Crisis. TWN Series on the Global Economic. Allen, F., Babus, A. & Carletti, E. (2009). Financial crises: Theory and evidence. Annual Review of Financial Economics. Arner, D.W. & Schou-Zibell, L. (2010). 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Financial Crises and Malaysia Trade Impact and Forecasting

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