Impact of IPO lockup expirations and its determinants: Malaysian evidence

This dissertation examines the impact of lockup expiration and its determinants in Malaysia using 292 IPOs during the period 2003-2012. Impact of lockup on abnormal returns, impact of lockup on abnormal trading volume, impact of regulatory changes on abnormal returns, and determinants of share price...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Shamsul Bahrain, Mohamed Arshad
Format: Thesis
Language:eng
eng
Published: 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:https://etd.uum.edu.my/6360/1/s90586_01.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/6360/2/s90586_02.pdf
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
id my-uum-etd.6360
record_format uketd_dc
institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
collection UUM ETD
language eng
eng
advisor Taufil Mohd, Kamarun Nisham
Ahmad Zaluki, Nurwati Ashikkin
topic HG Finance
spellingShingle HG Finance
Shamsul Bahrain, Mohamed Arshad
Impact of IPO lockup expirations and its determinants: Malaysian evidence
description This dissertation examines the impact of lockup expiration and its determinants in Malaysia using 292 IPOs during the period 2003-2012. Impact of lockup on abnormal returns, impact of lockup on abnormal trading volume, impact of regulatory changes on abnormal returns, and determinants of share price behavior as a proxy of abnormal returns at lockup expiration are the four study objectives. The research hypotheses are tested using event study method and multiple regressions. Results show the existence of significant negative abnormal returns surrounding the date of lockup expirations, hence contradicting evidence of the efficient market hypothesis. Further, this study also finds the existence of abnormal trading volumes. Both of these results are in line with those of the US studies. Meanwhile, there are two lockup regimes involved in this study arising from regulatory change that takes effect on 1 May 2003 and 3 August 2009, referred to as Regime #I and Regime #2, respectively. However, the results show that the change in lockup regulation does not have an impact on the abnormal returns at lockup expiration. Furthermore, the variables identified in the regression analysis are lockup regime, fractions of insiders buying and selling before and after expiration, company size and age, offer price, underwriter, auditor, and technology company. Results show that company size, fraction of insider selling and buying after lockup expiration are the significant factors in relations to abnormal returns which is driven by Regime #l. Implications of the study to SC are improving the present regulation by imposing the minimum requirement and allowing for longer lockup period to be determined between underwriter and IPO issuer, to Bursa Malaysia in posting the upcoming lockup expiration dates on their website to alert investors, and to research houses by starting coverage on earnings forecast and providing recommendations surrounding lockup expiration.
format Thesis
qualification_name other
qualification_level Doctorate
author Shamsul Bahrain, Mohamed Arshad
author_facet Shamsul Bahrain, Mohamed Arshad
author_sort Shamsul Bahrain, Mohamed Arshad
title Impact of IPO lockup expirations and its determinants: Malaysian evidence
title_short Impact of IPO lockup expirations and its determinants: Malaysian evidence
title_full Impact of IPO lockup expirations and its determinants: Malaysian evidence
title_fullStr Impact of IPO lockup expirations and its determinants: Malaysian evidence
title_full_unstemmed Impact of IPO lockup expirations and its determinants: Malaysian evidence
title_sort impact of ipo lockup expirations and its determinants: malaysian evidence
granting_institution Universiti Utara Malaysia
granting_department Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business
publishDate 2016
url https://etd.uum.edu.my/6360/1/s90586_01.pdf
https://etd.uum.edu.my/6360/2/s90586_02.pdf
_version_ 1747828065706180608
spelling my-uum-etd.63602021-04-19T07:13:52Z Impact of IPO lockup expirations and its determinants: Malaysian evidence 2016 Shamsul Bahrain, Mohamed Arshad Taufil Mohd, Kamarun Nisham Ahmad Zaluki, Nurwati Ashikkin Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business Othman Yeop Abdullah Graduate School of Business HG Finance This dissertation examines the impact of lockup expiration and its determinants in Malaysia using 292 IPOs during the period 2003-2012. Impact of lockup on abnormal returns, impact of lockup on abnormal trading volume, impact of regulatory changes on abnormal returns, and determinants of share price behavior as a proxy of abnormal returns at lockup expiration are the four study objectives. The research hypotheses are tested using event study method and multiple regressions. Results show the existence of significant negative abnormal returns surrounding the date of lockup expirations, hence contradicting evidence of the efficient market hypothesis. Further, this study also finds the existence of abnormal trading volumes. Both of these results are in line with those of the US studies. Meanwhile, there are two lockup regimes involved in this study arising from regulatory change that takes effect on 1 May 2003 and 3 August 2009, referred to as Regime #I and Regime #2, respectively. However, the results show that the change in lockup regulation does not have an impact on the abnormal returns at lockup expiration. Furthermore, the variables identified in the regression analysis are lockup regime, fractions of insiders buying and selling before and after expiration, company size and age, offer price, underwriter, auditor, and technology company. Results show that company size, fraction of insider selling and buying after lockup expiration are the significant factors in relations to abnormal returns which is driven by Regime #l. Implications of the study to SC are improving the present regulation by imposing the minimum requirement and allowing for longer lockup period to be determined between underwriter and IPO issuer, to Bursa Malaysia in posting the upcoming lockup expiration dates on their website to alert investors, and to research houses by starting coverage on earnings forecast and providing recommendations surrounding lockup expiration. 2016 Thesis https://etd.uum.edu.my/6360/ https://etd.uum.edu.my/6360/1/s90586_01.pdf text eng public https://etd.uum.edu.my/6360/2/s90586_02.pdf text eng public other doctoral Universiti Utara Malaysia Agganval, R. K., Krigman, L., & Womack, K. L. (2002). Strategic IPO underpricing, information momentum, and lockup expiration selling. Journal of Financial Economics, 66, 105-137. Ahmad-Zaluki, N., Campbell, K., & Goodacre, A. (2007). The long run share price performance of Malaysian initial public offerings (IPOs). Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, 34(1 & 2), 78-110. Ahmad-Zaluki, N., Campbell, K., & Goodacre, A. (2011). Earnings management in Malaysian IPOs: The East Asian crisis, ownership control and post-IPO performance. International Journal of Accounting, 46(2), 111 - 137. Ahmad-Zaluki, N., & Lim, B. K. (2012). The Investment Performance of MESDAQ Market Initial Public Offerings (IPOs). Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance, 8(1), 1-23. Angenendt, P-P., Goergen, M., & Renneboog, L. (2005). Shareholder lock-in contracts: Share price and trading volume effects at the lock-in expiry. ECGI Working Paper 10212005. Arthurs, J. D., Busenitz, L. W., Hoskisson, R. E., & Johnson, R. A. (2009). Signaling and initial public offerings: The use and impact of the lockup period. Journal of Business Venturing, 24,360-372. Beatty, R., & Ritter, J. (1986). Investment banking, reputation, and the underpricing of initial public offerings. Journal of Financial Economics, 15,2 13-232. Bessler, W., & Kurth, A. (2004). The performance of venture-backed IPOs in Germany: Exit strategies, lock-up periods, and bank ownership". Working Paper, Justus-Leibig-University Giessen. Binder, J.J. (1998). The event study methodology since 1969. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 11 (2), 111 - 137. Black, B, S., & Gilson, R. J. (1998). Venture capital and the structure of the capital markets: Banks versus stock markets. Journal of Financial Economics, 47, 243-277. Boreiko, D., & Lombardo, S. (2013). Lockup clauses in Italian IPOs. Applied Financial Economics, 23(3), 221-232. Bradley, D., Jordan, B., Roten, I., & Yi, H. (2001).Venture capital and IPO lockup expiration: An empirical analysis. Journal of Financial Research, 24(4), 465-493. Brau, J. C., Carter, D., A., Christophe, S., E., & Key, K., G. (2004). Market reaction to the expiration of IPO lockup provisions. Managerial Finance, 30(1), 75-91. Brau, J. C., & S. E. Fawcett. (2006). "Initial public offerings: An analysis of theory and practice". Journal of Finance, 61(1), 399-436. Brau, J. C., Lambson, V. E., & McQueen, G. (2005). "Lockups revisited". Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 40(3), 519-530. Brav, A., & Gompers, P. A. (2003). The role of lockups in initial public offerings. Review of Financial Studies, 16(1), 1-29. Brav, A., & Gompers, P. A. (2000). Insider trading subsequent to initial public offerings: Evidence from expirations of lock-up provisions. Unpublished Working Paper (Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 27708, USA). Brown, S. J., & Warner, J. B. (1980). Measuring security price performance. Journal of Financial Economics, 8,205-258. Brown, S. J., & Warner, J. B. (1985). Using daily stock return: The case of event studies. Journal of Financial Economics, 14,3-31. Campbell, J. Y., Lo, A. W., & MacKinlay, A.C. (1997). The econometrics of financial market, Second edn, Princeton University Press, New Jersey. Che-Yahya, N., Abdul-Rahim, R., & Yong, 0. (20 13). Influence of lockup provision on flipping activity of Malaysian IPOs. Journal of Economics and Finance Review, 3(4), 1 1-24. Chen, D-H., Chen, C-D., Blenman, L. P., & Bin, F-S. (2005). The effect of IPO lockup agreements on stock prices: An empirical analysis on Taiwan Stock Exchange. Global Business and Finance Review, 10,39-56. Chen, H-C., Chen, S-S., & Huang, C-W. (2012). Why do insiders sell shares following IPO lockup? Financial Management, 8 13-847. Chen, H-C., Fok, R. C. W., & Lu, C. (2011). An analysis of Lockups in REIT IPOs. Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 43(3), 417-437. Chong, B. S., & Ho, K. W. (2007). Lockup and voluntary earnings forecast disclosure in IPOs. Financial Management, 36,63-80. Chong, F., & Puah, C-H. (2009). The Malaysian IPO market: volume, initial returns and economic conditions. International Review of Business Research Papers, 5(5), 182-192. Corhay, A., Teo, S., & Rad, A. (2002). The long run performance of Malaysian initial public offerings (IPO): value growth and effects. Managerial Finance, 28(2), 52-65. Courteau, L. (1 995). Under-diversification and retention commitments in IPOs. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 30,487-517. Coutts, J. A., Mills, T.C., & Roberts, J. (1995). Misspecification of the market model: The implications for event studies. Applied Economics Letters, 2, 163-165. Dawson, S. D. (1987). Secondary stock market performance of initial public offers, Hong Kong, Singapore and Malaysia: 1978 to 1984. Journal of Business, Finance and Accounting, 14(1), 65-75. Dimson, E. (1979). Risk measurement when shares are subjected to infrequent trading. Journal of Financial Economics, 7(2), 197-226. Dimson, E., & Mussavian, M. (2000). Market efficiency. The Current State of Business Disciplines, 3, 959-970. Dyckrnan, T., Philbrick, D., & Stephan, J. (1984). A comparison of event study methodologies using daily stock return: A simulation approach. Journal of Accounting Research, 22, 1-30. Espenlaub, S., Goergen, M., & Khurshed, A. (2001). IPO lock-in agreements in the UK. Journal of Business Finance &Accounting, 28(9&10), 1235-1278. Espenlaub, S., Goergen, M., & Khurshed, A. (2001). Lock-in agreements in the UK: Is there a fourth IPO anomaly? EFMA Lugano Meetings Working Paper. Espenlaub, S., Goergen, M., Khurshed, A., & Remenar M. (2002). Trading by directors around the expiry of lock-in agreements in UK IPOs. Working Paper, Manchester School of Management, UMIST, Manchester. Espenlaub, S., Goergen, M., Khurshed, A., & Renneboog, L. (2003). Lock-in agreements in venture capital backed UK IPOs. ECGI Finance Workingpaper 2612003. Fama, E. F. (1970). Efficient capital markets: A review of theory and empirical work. Journal of Finance, 25(2), 383-41 7. Field, L.C., & Hanka, G.(2001). The expiration of IPO share lockups. Journal of Finance, 56(2), 47 1-500. Gao, F., & Siddiqi, M. A. (2012). The rational for IPO lockup agreements: Agency or signaling. Review of Paczj?c Basin Financial Markets and Policies, 15 (3), 1250013-1 - 18. Gao, Y. (2005). Trading and the information environment of IPO stocks around lockup expiration: Evidence from intraday data. Social Science Research Network, id-686566,l-62. Garfinkle, N., Malkiel, B., & Bontas, C. (2002). Effect of underpricing and lock-up provisions in IPOs. Journal of Porrfolio Management, 28(3), 50-58. Goergen, M., Mazouz, K., & Yin, S. (2010). Price, volume and spread effects associated with the expiry of lock-in agreements: Evidence from the Hong Kong IPO market. PaciJic-Basin Finance Journal, 18,442-459. Goergen, M., Renneboog, L., & Khurshed, A. (2006). Explaining the diversity in shareholder lockup agreements. Journal of Financial Intermediation, 15, 254-280. Gompers, P., & Lerner, J. (1998). Venture capital distributions: Short-run and long-run reactions. Journal of Finance, 53 (6), 2161-2183. Hakim, T., Lypny, G., & Bhabra, H. S. (2012). IPO lockup expiration in the Middle Eat and North Africa. Journal of Multinational Financial Management, 22,252-262. Hiau-Abdullah, N.A. (2000). 'Event study analysis and market efficiency: A critical review'. Utara Management Review, 1(2), 1-28. Hiau-Abdullah, N.A., & Taufil-Mohd, K. (2004). Factors influencing the underpricing of initial public offerings in an emerging market: Malaysian evidence. IIUM Journal of Economics and Management, 12(2), 1-2 1. Hoque, H., & Lasfer, M. (2009). IPO lockup agreements and trading by insiders. Unpublished paper, Cass Business School. EFA Bergen Meetings Paper, 2009. Hoque, H. (201 1). The choice and role of lockups in IPOs: Evidence from heterogeneous lockup agreements. Journal of Financial Markets, Institutions & Instruments, 20(5), 19 1-220. Ibbotson, R. G., & Ritter, J, R. (1995). Initial public offerings. Operations Research and Management Science, 9,993- 10 16. Jelic, R., Saadouni, B., & Briston, R. J. (2001). Performance of Malaysian IPOs: Underwriters' reputation and management earnings forecast. PaciJic-Basin Finance Journal, 9,457-486. Jensen, M., & Meckling, W. (1976). Theory of the firm: Managerial behavior, agency costs and ownership structure. Journal of Financial Economics.3, 305-360. Keasler, T. R. (2001). The underwriter's early lock-up release: empirical evidence. Journal of Economics and Finance, 25(2), 214-228. Kotari, S. P., & Wasley, C. E. (1989). Measuring security price performance in sizeclustered samples. The Accounting Review, 64(2), 228-249. Kryzanowski, L., & Liang, S. (2008). Canadian IPO Share Releases: lockup designs, transparency and market behavior. Journal of Private Equity, 1 1 (2), 73-89. Leland, H., & Pyle, D. (1977). Informational asymmetries, financial structure, and financial intermediation., Journal of Finance, 32, 371-387. Loughran, T., Ritter, J. R., & Rydqvist, K. (1994). Initial public offering: International insights. PaciJc-Basin Finance Journal, 2, 165-199. MacKinlay, A. C. (1 997). Event studies in economics and finance. Journal of Economic Literature, 35,13-39. Mahajan, R. & Singh, B. (201 1). Impact of lock-in period expiration on share prices and volume: An empirical study. Management and Labour Studies, 36 (2), 155- 174. Mohan, N. J., & Chen, C. R. (2001). Information content of lock-up provisions in initial public offerings. International Review of Economics and Finance, 10,41-59. Mohd-Rashid, R., Abdul-Rahim, R. & Yong, 0. (2014). The influence of lock-up provisions on IPO initial returns: Evidence from emerging market. Economic Systems, 38,487-501. Novak, E. (2004). The expiration of mandatory and voluntary lock-up provisions - empirical evidence from Germany's Neuer Market. Ahances in Financial Economics, 10, 18 1-200. Ofek, E., & Richardson, M. (2003). Dotcom Mania: The rise and fall of internet stocks prices. Journal of Finance, 58 (3). Ofek, E., & Richardson, M. (2000). The IPO lockup period: Implications for market Efficiency and downward sloping demand curves. Working paper series, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business. Paudyal, K., Saaduoni, B., & Briston, R. J. (1998). Privatisation initial public offerings in Malaysia: Initial premium and long-term performance. Pacific- Basin Finance Journal, 6 (5), 427-45 1. Ritter, J. R., & Welch, I. (2002). A review of IPO activity, pricing and allocations. Journal of Finance, 57 (4), 1795-1828. Taufil-Mohd, K. N. (2007). Regulations and underpricing of IPOs. Capital Market Review, 15(1), 1-27. Tolia, B., & Yip, Y., M. (2003). Hot IPOs and lockup expiration - an anomaly? Competitiveness Review, 13 (2), 53-59. Wan-Hussin, W. N. (2005). The effects of owners' participation and lockup on IPO underpricing in Malaysia. Asian Academy of Management Journal, 10 (I), 19-36. Yong, 0. (2010). Initial premium, flipping activity and opening-day price spread of Malaysian IPOs. Capital Markets Review, 18(1), 45-61. Yong, 0. (1996). Who actually did gain from the underpricing of IPOs? Capital Markets Review, 4 (I), 33-47. Yung, C., & Zender, J. F. (2010). Moral hazard, asymmetric information and IPO lockups. Journal of Corporate Finance, 16,320-332.