The development and evaluation of Mathematical models for the spread of political figure voters with application to presidential elections in Indonesia (IR)

The aims of this study were to develop and evaluate the mathematical models for the spread of political figure fever in presidential elections in Indonesia. This thesis introduced several new models concerning the analysis of the spread of voters by showing modeling and simulation. The methodology i...

Full description

Saved in:

Bibliographic Details
Main Author:	Benny Yong
Format:	thesis
Language:	eng
Published:	2017
Subjects:	QA Mathematics
Online Access:	https://ir.upsi.edu.my/detailsg.php?det=3880
Tags:	Add Tag No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!

id	oai:ir.upsi.edu.my:3880
record_format	uketd_dc
spelling	oai:ir.upsi.edu.my:38802020-02-27 The development and evaluation of Mathematical models for the spread of political figure voters with application to presidential elections in Indonesia (IR) 2017 Benny Yong QA Mathematics The aims of this study were to develop and evaluate the mathematical models for the spread of political figure fever in presidential elections in Indonesia. This thesis introduced several new models concerning the analysis of the spread of voters by showing modeling and simulation. The methodology is based on quantitative research using epidemiological approach. This study employed four different types of continuous time deterministic models; SIR, SIRS, SI1I2R, and SI1I2RS . These new models were applied to the presidential elections data in Indonesia to analyze the dynamical spread of voters of presidential candidates. The analysis of the result were displayed in the graph to show dynamical change on each individual. Simulations performed to obtain an overview of the dynamics of the spread of the influence of voters in the population. The results comparing the simulations for these models showed the best model for estimating the number of votes is SI1I2RS model. Furthermore, from simulations it can be seen how quickly changes occur with regard to the values of the parameters that obtained from various sources. The results also showed that to increase the number of votes, the political parties or political figures should consider the factor of media and boredom rate. The presence of media will increase the spread of political figure fever among voters. Positive media will increase the number of political figure voters, otherwise negative media will decrease the number of political figure voters. The study also concludes that the boredom rate is one of the sensitive parameters in the political figure fever model. The higher the boredom rate between voter populations, the more serious attention of political figure is needed. As a conclusion, this study succeeds to develop and evaluate new mathematical models using epidemiological approach. The implication of the study is that these mathematical models could be used to assist political parties or political figures in making the strategy to increase their supporters by estimating the number of votes of both cases; absence and presence of media. The results displayed in voters map can be used to identify which area has the highest number of voters, which area with the lowest number of voters, or which area need further attention to increase the number of voters. 2017 thesis https://ir.upsi.edu.my/detailsg.php?det=3880 https://ir.upsi.edu.my/detailsg.php?det=3880 text eng closedAccess Doctoral Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris Fakulti Sains dan Matematik N/A
institution	Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris
collection	UPSI Digital Repository
language	eng
topic	QA Mathematics
spellingShingle	QA Mathematics Benny Yong The development and evaluation of Mathematical models for the spread of political figure voters with application to presidential elections in Indonesia (IR)
description	The aims of this study were to develop and evaluate the mathematical models for the spread of political figure fever in presidential elections in Indonesia. This thesis introduced several new models concerning the analysis of the spread of voters by showing modeling and simulation. The methodology is based on quantitative research using epidemiological approach. This study employed four different types of continuous time deterministic models; SIR, SIRS, SI1I2R, and SI1I2RS . These new models were applied to the presidential elections data in Indonesia to analyze the dynamical spread of voters of presidential candidates. The analysis of the result were displayed in the graph to show dynamical change on each individual. Simulations performed to obtain an overview of the dynamics of the spread of the influence of voters in the population. The results comparing the simulations for these models showed the best model for estimating the number of votes is SI1I2RS model. Furthermore, from simulations it can be seen how quickly changes occur with regard to the values of the parameters that obtained from various sources. The results also showed that to increase the number of votes, the political parties or political figures should consider the factor of media and boredom rate. The presence of media will increase the spread of political figure fever among voters. Positive media will increase the number of political figure voters, otherwise negative media will decrease the number of political figure voters. The study also concludes that the boredom rate is one of the sensitive parameters in the political figure fever model. The higher the boredom rate between voter populations, the more serious attention of political figure is needed. As a conclusion, this study succeeds to develop and evaluate new mathematical models using epidemiological approach. The implication of the study is that these mathematical models could be used to assist political parties or political figures in making the strategy to increase their supporters by estimating the number of votes of both cases; absence and presence of media. The results displayed in voters map can be used to identify which area has the highest number of voters, which area with the lowest number of voters, or which area need further attention to increase the number of voters.
format	thesis
qualification_name
qualification_level	Doctorate
author	Benny Yong
author_facet	Benny Yong
author_sort	Benny Yong
title	The development and evaluation of Mathematical models for the spread of political figure voters with application to presidential elections in Indonesia (IR)
title_short	The development and evaluation of Mathematical models for the spread of political figure voters with application to presidential elections in Indonesia (IR)
title_full	The development and evaluation of Mathematical models for the spread of political figure voters with application to presidential elections in Indonesia (IR)
title_fullStr	The development and evaluation of Mathematical models for the spread of political figure voters with application to presidential elections in Indonesia (IR)
title_full_unstemmed	The development and evaluation of Mathematical models for the spread of political figure voters with application to presidential elections in Indonesia (IR)
title_sort	development and evaluation of mathematical models for the spread of political figure voters with application to presidential elections in indonesia (ir)
granting_institution	Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris
granting_department	Fakulti Sains dan Matematik
publishDate	2017
url	https://ir.upsi.edu.my/detailsg.php?det=3880
_version_	1747833109261320192

The development and evaluation of Mathematical models for the spread of political figure voters with application to presidential elections in Indonesia (IR)

Similar Items