Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia

Kajian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh faktor pemboleh ubahmakroekonomi (kemeruapan kadar pertukaran asing, pulangan kadar pertukaran asing dan kadarinflasi) dan faktor harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pulangan pasaran saham bagi sembilan sektorterpilih di Malaysia. Kajian ini juga mengk...

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Main Author: Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof
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Published: 2018
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institution Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris
collection UPSI Digital Repository
language zsm
topic HB Economic Theory
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof
Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia
description Kajian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh faktor pemboleh ubahmakroekonomi (kemeruapan kadar pertukaran asing, pulangan kadar pertukaran asing dan kadarinflasi) dan faktor harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pulangan pasaran saham bagi sembilan sektorterpilih di Malaysia. Kajian ini juga mengkaji pengaruh faktor luar jangkaan iaitu krisis ekonomidunia pada tahun 2008, terhadap pulangan pasaran saham di Malaysia. Dengan mengadaptasi KaedahKuasa Dua Terkecil (KKDT) dalam pembentukan model penganggaran, data siri masa berfrekuensi bulananbermula September 2003 hingga November 2016 telah digunakan. Dapatan kajian menunjukkan bahawaharga minyak mentah dunia memberi pengaruh yang berbeza merentasi sektor dan regim krisis duniayang dibentuk. Misalnya, pada regim sebelum krisis ekonomi dunia, harga minyak mentah duniamemberikan pengaruh positif dan siginfikan terhadap sektor Perindustrian ( =.090, <.01). Sebaliknya, selepas krisis ekonomi dunia, harga minyak mentah dunia memberikanpengaruh yang positif dan signifikan terhadap sektor yang lain iaitu sektor Perladangan ( =.143, <.01) dan Kewangan ( = .100, <.01). Selain itu,dapatan kajian menunjukkan pemboleh ubah makroekonomi turut memberikan peranan yang berbezamerentasi regim krisis dunia dan sektor. Kesimpulannya, kebanyakan pulangan sektor di Malaysiaadalah dipengaruhi oleh faktor harga minyak mentah dunia. Namun, tidak di nafikan faktormakroekonomi seperti faktor kemeruapan kadar, pertukaran asing dan kadar inflasi turut juga dapatmemberikan pengaruh terhadap pulangan sektor di Malaysa. Implikasi kajian ini adalah penting kepadapara pelabur dan bakal pelabur, kerana ia dapat membantu dalam membuatkeputusan pelaburan bagi sesuatu sektor.
format thesis
qualification_name
qualification_level Master's degree
author Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof
author_facet Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof
author_sort Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof
title Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia
title_short Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia
title_full Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia
title_fullStr Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia
title_sort pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di malaysia
granting_institution Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris
granting_department Fakulti Pengurusan dan Ekonomi
publishDate 2018
url https://ir.upsi.edu.my/detailsg.php?det=5093
_version_ 1747833167626108928
spelling oai:ir.upsi.edu.my:50932020-08-11 Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia 2018 Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof HB Economic Theory Kajian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh faktor pemboleh ubahmakroekonomi (kemeruapan kadar pertukaran asing, pulangan kadar pertukaran asing dan kadarinflasi) dan faktor harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pulangan pasaran saham bagi sembilan sektorterpilih di Malaysia. Kajian ini juga mengkaji pengaruh faktor luar jangkaan iaitu krisis ekonomidunia pada tahun 2008, terhadap pulangan pasaran saham di Malaysia. Dengan mengadaptasi KaedahKuasa Dua Terkecil (KKDT) dalam pembentukan model penganggaran, data siri masa berfrekuensi bulananbermula September 2003 hingga November 2016 telah digunakan. Dapatan kajian menunjukkan bahawaharga minyak mentah dunia memberi pengaruh yang berbeza merentasi sektor dan regim krisis duniayang dibentuk. Misalnya, pada regim sebelum krisis ekonomi dunia, harga minyak mentah duniamemberikan pengaruh positif dan siginfikan terhadap sektor Perindustrian ( =.090, <.01). Sebaliknya, selepas krisis ekonomi dunia, harga minyak mentah dunia memberikanpengaruh yang positif dan signifikan terhadap sektor yang lain iaitu sektor Perladangan ( =.143, <.01) dan Kewangan ( = .100, <.01). Selain itu,dapatan kajian menunjukkan pemboleh ubah makroekonomi turut memberikan peranan yang berbezamerentasi regim krisis dunia dan sektor. Kesimpulannya, kebanyakan pulangan sektor di Malaysiaadalah dipengaruhi oleh faktor harga minyak mentah dunia. Namun, tidak di nafikan faktormakroekonomi seperti faktor kemeruapan kadar, pertukaran asing dan kadar inflasi turut juga dapatmemberikan pengaruh terhadap pulangan sektor di Malaysa. 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