Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia
Kajian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh faktor pemboleh ubahmakroekonomi (kemeruapan kadar pertukaran asing, pulangan kadar pertukaran asing dan kadarinflasi) dan faktor harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pulangan pasaran saham bagi sembilan sektorterpilih di Malaysia. Kajian ini juga mengk...
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HB Economic Theory Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia |
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Kajian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh faktor pemboleh ubahmakroekonomi (kemeruapan kadar pertukaran asing, pulangan kadar pertukaran asing dan kadarinflasi) dan faktor harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pulangan pasaran saham bagi sembilan sektorterpilih di Malaysia. Kajian ini juga mengkaji pengaruh faktor luar jangkaan iaitu krisis ekonomidunia pada tahun 2008, terhadap pulangan pasaran saham di Malaysia. Dengan mengadaptasi KaedahKuasa Dua Terkecil (KKDT) dalam pembentukan model penganggaran, data siri masa berfrekuensi bulananbermula September 2003 hingga November 2016 telah digunakan. Dapatan kajian menunjukkan bahawaharga minyak mentah dunia memberi pengaruh yang berbeza merentasi sektor dan regim krisis duniayang dibentuk. Misalnya, pada regim sebelum krisis ekonomi dunia, harga minyak mentah duniamemberikan pengaruh positif dan siginfikan terhadap sektor Perindustrian ( =.090, <.01). Sebaliknya, selepas krisis ekonomi dunia, harga minyak mentah dunia memberikanpengaruh yang positif dan signifikan terhadap sektor yang lain iaitu sektor Perladangan ( =.143, <.01) dan Kewangan ( = .100, <.01). Selain itu,dapatan kajian menunjukkan pemboleh ubah makroekonomi turut memberikan peranan yang berbezamerentasi regim krisis dunia dan sektor. Kesimpulannya, kebanyakan pulangan sektor di Malaysiaadalah dipengaruhi oleh faktor harga minyak mentah dunia. Namun, tidak di nafikan faktormakroekonomi seperti faktor kemeruapan kadar, pertukaran asing dan kadar inflasi turut juga dapatmemberikan pengaruh terhadap pulangan sektor di Malaysa. Implikasi kajian ini adalah penting kepadapara pelabur dan bakal pelabur, kerana ia dapat membantu dalam membuatkeputusan pelaburan bagi sesuatu sektor. |
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Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof |
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Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof |
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Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof |
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Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia |
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Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia |
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Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia |
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Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia |
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Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia |
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pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di malaysia |
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Universiti Pendidikan Sultan Idris |
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Fakulti Pengurusan dan Ekonomi |
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oai:ir.upsi.edu.my:50932020-08-11 Pengaruh faktor makroekonomi terpilih dan harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pasaran saham mengikut sektor di Malaysia 2018 Mohd Kamarul Azriq Yusof HB Economic Theory Kajian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis pengaruh faktor pemboleh ubahmakroekonomi (kemeruapan kadar pertukaran asing, pulangan kadar pertukaran asing dan kadarinflasi) dan faktor harga minyak mentah dunia terhadap pulangan pasaran saham bagi sembilan sektorterpilih di Malaysia. Kajian ini juga mengkaji pengaruh faktor luar jangkaan iaitu krisis ekonomidunia pada tahun 2008, terhadap pulangan pasaran saham di Malaysia. Dengan mengadaptasi KaedahKuasa Dua Terkecil (KKDT) dalam pembentukan model penganggaran, data siri masa berfrekuensi bulananbermula September 2003 hingga November 2016 telah digunakan. Dapatan kajian menunjukkan bahawaharga minyak mentah dunia memberi pengaruh yang berbeza merentasi sektor dan regim krisis duniayang dibentuk. Misalnya, pada regim sebelum krisis ekonomi dunia, harga minyak mentah duniamemberikan pengaruh positif dan siginfikan terhadap sektor Perindustrian ( =.090, <.01). Sebaliknya, selepas krisis ekonomi dunia, harga minyak mentah dunia memberikanpengaruh yang positif dan signifikan terhadap sektor yang lain iaitu sektor Perladangan ( =.143, <.01) dan Kewangan ( = .100, <.01). Selain itu,dapatan kajian menunjukkan pemboleh ubah makroekonomi turut memberikan peranan yang berbezamerentasi regim krisis dunia dan sektor. Kesimpulannya, kebanyakan pulangan sektor di Malaysiaadalah dipengaruhi oleh faktor harga minyak mentah dunia. Namun, tidak di nafikan faktormakroekonomi seperti faktor kemeruapan kadar, pertukaran asing dan kadar inflasi turut juga dapatmemberikan pengaruh terhadap pulangan sektor di Malaysa. 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